COLORADO, United States, Thursday February 5, 2015 – While long-range forecasts for 2015 Atlantic hurricane activity indicate another average to slightly below average season, there is some divergence of opinion so far in advance of the official start of the season on June 1.

Read more: http://www.caribbean360.com/news/mixed-predictions-2015-atlantic-hurricane-season#ixzz3TuU1HFwA

In December, the Colorado State forecasters noted that it was challenging to forecast whether or not the then developing weak El Niño would persist through the 2015 hurricane season. While significant weakening of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and thermohaline circulation (THC) was noted during the spring of 2014, North Atlantic SST and sea level pressure patterns have since rebounded to conditions characteristic of an active era.

Read more: http://www.caribbean360.com/news/mixed-predictions-2015-atlantic-hurricane-season#ixzz3TuUArQO1

Hence a large range of uncertainty remains about the outlook, which appears to suggest anything from slightly above average to below average, based on the extended range qualitative outlook. Typically, hurricane seasons with those NTC values have the following tropical cyclone activity:

180 NTC – 14-17 named storms, 9-11 hurricanes, 4-5 major hurricanes
140 NTC – 12-15 named storms, 7-9 hurricanes, 3-4 major hurricanes
75 NTC – 8-11 named storms, 3-5 hurricanes, 1-2 major hurricanes
40 NTC – 5-7 named storms, 2-3 hurricanes, 0-1 major hurricane

Read more: http://www.caribbean360.com/news/mixed-predictions-2015-atlantic-hurricane-season#ixzz3TuUGJDnW

 

What this really means is anything could happen and until it is much closer we should expect the worst and hope for the best scenarios which is like 2014!!!! This is not likely and we all need to watch what happens this season. Please call L & S Insurance at 1-888-244-7400 for quotes on Home, Flood, Auto, Business & Commercial & Life & financial products as well. Please enjoy the full article below;

http://www.caribbean360.com/news/mixed-predictions-2015-atlantic-hurricane-season

 

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