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Catastrophe modeling firms Karen Clark & Co. and RMS have released insured loss estimates for Hurricane Dorian, ranging from $500 million to $1.5 billion.

According to KCC, Dorian reached peak intensity of 185 mph while over the Bahamas, one of only four storms in the Atlantic basin since 1900 to reach this intensity.

In the U.S., Dorian made landfall off the coast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, on Sept. 6 as a Category 1 hurricane with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph. It brought some heavy rains and storm surge to the coast of South Carolina, but nothing like what was originally anticipated when it began heading towards the Southeast coast as a Category 3.

It ultimately stayed mostly offshore, bringing some flooding and damage but mostly sparing the region – a dramatic difference than what Dorian did to the Bahamas where it hit several islands with 210 mph winds.

“While Dorian caused material damage in several states, the overall impact to the U.S. could have been much worse had the storm taken a different track,” said Jeff Waters, senior product manager, RMS North Atlantic Hurricane Models. “We were fortunate that the majority of Dorian’s damaging winds and storm surge remained offshore as it tracked along the U.S. coastline, before weakening, and eventually making landfall in North Carolina.”

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